Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
AYA
0 - 1
ALI
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 2
CIE
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SPC
5 - 2
ALI
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 0
MAN
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
UTC
3 - 1
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
MEL
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
GAR
0 - 2
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 2
BIN
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 1
ALI
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 1
HUA
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |