Algorfa vs H. Nieves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algorfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
RAF
2 - 1
ALG
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
ALG
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 0
ALG
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ALG
0 - 1
BIG
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ALG
4 - 3
ATH
61%
19%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
H. Nieves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
HON
2 - 1
BIG
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 2
HON
41%
23%
36%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
HON
2 - 4
ALT
34%
23%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HON
5 - 1
SPO
74%
15%
12%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
HON
2 - 1
SPO
16%
18%
65%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |