Algeti vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
SAP
0 - 0
ALG
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ALG
2 - 1
CHK
61%
19%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
SHU
3 - 0
ALG
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 0
DIN
26%
24%
49%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
LOK
3 - 1
ALG
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
GAG
4 - 1
IME
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SAP
2 - 1
GAG
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
GAG
4 - 1
SKU
78%
15%
8%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
CHK
0 - 0
GAG
21%
23%
57%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GAG
5 - 2
MER
76%
15%
8%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | +1 |