Algeti XXI vs Duruji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
61.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeti XXI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
ACH
3 - 0
ALG
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALG
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
ALG
0 - 3
SKO
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
ABU
8 - 0
ALG
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
ALG
0 - 2
ADU
12%
18%
71%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Duruji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
DUR
3 - 0
SKO
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
ALA
6 - 0
DUR
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
DUR
0 - 1
MET
15%
20%
65%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
DUR
81%
12%
6%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
TSK
5 - 1
DUR
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | +1 |