Algeciras CF vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
16.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.6%
22.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
JER
1 - 1
ALG
62%
25%
14%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
JER
0 - 0
ALG
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
ALG
1 - 1
AGD
48%
30%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
ELD
0 - 0
ALG
70%
22%
9%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
ALG
1 - 0
BAL
55%
29%
16%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
RJA
4 - 0
AMA
54%
28%
18%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
SFE
2 - 1
RJA
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
SFE
1 - 0
RJA
54%
28%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
RJA
2 - 0
POR
65%
24%
11%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
MEL
1 - 3
RJA
45%
31%
24%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |