Primera División RFEF Group 2 Round 8

Algeciras CF vs Hércules analysis

Algeciras CF Hércules
58 ELO 63
-8.6% Tilt -15.3%
2328º General ELO ranking 2294º
75º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
35.5%
Algeciras CF
28.8%
Draw
35.6%
Hércules

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
Algeciras CF
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
35.7%
Win probability
Hércules
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Algeciras CF
+8%
-5%
Hércules

Points and table prediction

Algeciras CF
Their league position
Hércules
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
20º
47
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AD Ceuta FC
67
67
100%
Real Murcia
64
64
100%
UD Ibiza
63
63
100%
Antequera CF
58
58
0%
AD Mérida
58
58
0%
RM Castilla
54
54
0%
Atlético Madrileño
54
54
0%
Sevilla At.
53
53
100%
Algeciras CF
52
52
100%
Alcorcón
10º
51
51
10º
100%
Villarreal B
11º
49
49
11º
100%
Hércules
12º
47
47
12º
100%
Marbella FC
15º
46
46
13º
100%
At. Sanluqueño
14º
46
46
14º
0%
Betis Deportivo
13º
46
46
15º
0%
Yeclano Deportivo
17º
43
43
16º
0%
Fuenlabrada
16º
43
43
17º
0%
Alcoyano
18º
42
42
18º
100%
Recreativo
19º
37
37
19º
100%
CF Intercity
20º
35
35
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Algeciras CF
Hércules
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Algeciras CF
Hércules
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Algeciras CF
Algeciras CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2024
BET
Betis Deportivo
1 - 1
Algeciras CF
ALG
51%
25%
23%
58 59 1 0
29 Sep. 2024
ALG
Algeciras CF
1 - 1
Villarreal B
VIL
22%
26%
52%
58 69 11 0
22 Sep. 2024
INT
CF Intercity
0 - 1
Algeciras CF
ALG
47%
27%
26%
57 57 0 +1
14 Sep. 2024
ALG
Algeciras CF
1 - 3
Marbella FC
MAR
46%
27%
27%
58 56 2 -1
06 Sep. 2024
MAD
AD Mérida
1 - 0
Algeciras CF
ALG
53%
26%
22%
58 62 4 0

Matches

Hércules
Hércules
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2024
HER
Hércules
1 - 0
Antequera CF
ANT
45%
28%
28%
61 63 2 0
28 Sep. 2024
RMC
RM Castilla
1 - 0
Hércules
HER
55%
24%
21%
62 64 2 -1
21 Sep. 2024
HER
Hércules
2 - 0
Real Murcia
MUR
36%
28%
37%
61 65 4 +1
15 Sep. 2024
IBI
UD Ibiza
1 - 1
Hércules
HER
62%
22%
16%
60 67 7 +1
07 Sep. 2024
HER
Hércules
1 - 1
CF Intercity
INT
51%
26%
22%
60 58 2 0