Algaida vs UEF Santa María analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
36.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algaida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
ALG
35%
23%
43%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ALG
3 - 0
SER
61%
20%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
POR
3 - 2
ALG
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 0
EST
40%
23%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PCR
0 - 1
ALG
31%
23%
47%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UEF Santa María
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SER
4 - 2
STM
21%
21%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
STM
2 - 0
EST
51%
22%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LLU
2 - 3
STM
57%
21%
23%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
STM
1 - 0
SCA
68%
17%
15%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CFP
2 - 1
STM
46%
22%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |