National League Round 21

Alfreton Town vs Hayes & Yeading United analysis

Alfreton Town Hayes & Yeading United
48 ELO 46
16.3% Tilt 10.7%
5829º General ELO ranking 8782º
192º Country ELO ranking 366º
ELO win probability
53.6%
Alfreton Town
22.1%
Draw
24.3%
Hayes & Yeading United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
Alfreton Town
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.3%
Win probability
Hayes & Yeading United
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alfreton Town
-10%
-1%
Hayes & Yeading United

ELO progression

Alfreton Town
Hayes & Yeading United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alfreton Town
Alfreton Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2011
ALF
Alfreton Town
1 - 1
Gateshead
GAT
33%
24%
43%
48 54 6 0
12 Nov. 2011
ALF
Alfreton Town
0 - 4
Carlisle United
CUM
28%
24%
48%
48 61 13 0
05 Nov. 2011
FOR
Forest Green Rovers
4 - 1
Alfreton Town
ALF
45%
24%
30%
50 49 1 -2
22 Oct. 2011
MAN
Mansfield Town
3 - 2
Alfreton Town
ALF
59%
22%
19%
50 55 5 0
18 Oct. 2011
ALF
Alfreton Town
1 - 4
Fleetwood Town
FLE
35%
25%
41%
51 58 7 -1

Matches

Hayes & Yeading United
Hayes & Yeading United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2011
HAY
Hayes & Yeading United
1 - 3
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
33%
25%
42%
47 57 10 0
05 Nov. 2011
STO
Stockport County
3 - 3
Hayes & Yeading United
HAY
55%
22%
23%
47 47 0 0
22 Oct. 2011
HAY
Hayes & Yeading United
2 - 4
York City
YOR
30%
26%
44%
48 61 13 -1
18 Oct. 2011
TAM
Tamworth
2 - 1
Hayes & Yeading United
HAY
51%
24%
26%
48 51 3 0
15 Oct. 2011
BAR
Barrow
3 - 1
Hayes & Yeading United
HAY
45%
25%
30%
49 50 1 -1