FA Trophy . 1/64
Global 4-1
Alfreton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
GAI
0 - 0
ALF
32%
24%
45%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 2
ALT
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
NEW
4 - 1
ALF
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
ALF
19%
20%
62%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 2
GLO
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
GAI
0 - 0
ALF
32%
24%
45%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
KID
3 - 0
GAI
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
STO
1 - 0
GAI
62%
21%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
GAI
0 - 2
CHO
27%
25%
47%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CUR
1 - 2
GAI
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |