Alfreton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
WOR
2 - 0
ALF
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
ALF
2 - 0
HYD
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
LAN
2 - 2
ALF
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
KET
1 - 0
ALF
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ALF
1 - 0
NUN
25%
26%
49%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
GAI
0 - 2
KET
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
GAI
1 - 1
VAU
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
LEI
0 - 0
GAI
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
TOW
2 - 0
GAI
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
GAI
1 - 1
RFC
30%
28%
42%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |