Alfonsine FC 1921 vs Pol. Ciliverghe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SAM
0 - 0
ALF
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 0
ADR
19%
20%
61%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BRE
2 - 0
ALF
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
ALF
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 2
SAV
41%
24%
36%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PSM
0 - 0
BRE
44%
22%
34%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
COR
0 - 0
PSM
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PSM
3 - 2
SAV
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FIO
2 - 1
PSM
71%
18%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PSM
0 - 1
PRO
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |