Alfonsine FC 1921 vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 2
COR
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 1
ALF
67%
18%
16%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
FOL
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
MAT
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
OLY
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FAN
3 - 1
MAT
54%
25%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIS
1 - 1
MAT
46%
24%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |