Alfacar UD vs Vandalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 0
ALF
65%
19%
16%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 6
GAB
19%
20%
61%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 2
OTU
48%
23%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PUR
4 - 1
ALF
70%
17%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 6
CDC
33%
23%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Vandalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VAN
3 - 1
PUR
66%
20%
15%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 1
VAN
53%
22%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VAN
3 - 2
CEL
51%
22%
26%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 0
VAN
52%
22%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
VAN
44%
24%
33%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |