Alexandria .66 vs Heerjansdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alexandria .66
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ORA
1 - 1
ALE
43%
25%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
HEI
2 - 4
ALE
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ALE
0 - 1
ALB
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
VVG
2 - 1
ALE
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ALE
2 - 1
KLU
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Heerjansdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
HEE
0 - 1
NIE
29%
23%
48%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BOL
2 - 1
HEE
44%
23%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
HEE
1 - 4
BRI
30%
22%
48%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
HEE
1 - 0
DIN
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ORA
2 - 0
HEE
53%
24%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |