Alera vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
31%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
LUN
7 - 0
ALE
76%
14%
11%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
TOR
3 - 0
ALE
34%
21%
46%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
PRA
0 - 2
ALE
66%
17%
17%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 2
VAL
13%
15%
72%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
UNC
3 - 2
ALE
51%
19%
30%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 2
TOR
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
PRA
1 - 0
BAR
52%
21%
28%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 0
VAL
18%
17%
65%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
UNC
1 - 3
BAR
53%
20%
28%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 3
LUC
10%
15%
75%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | -1 |