2ª Regional Aragón Grupo 3-2. Jor. 18

Alera vs Bardena analysis

Alera Bardena
5 ELO 6
14.6% Tilt 17%
17384º General ELO ranking 14120º
5034º Country ELO ranking 2750º
ELO win probability
48.6%
Alera
20.4%
Draw
31%
Bardena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
Alera
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
31%
Win probability
Bardena
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alera
-30%
+51%
Bardena

ELO progression

Alera
Bardena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alera
Alera
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2019
LUN
Luna
7 - 0
Alera
ALE
76%
14%
11%
5 10 5 0
03 Feb. 2019
TOR
CD Torres
3 - 0
Alera
ALE
34%
21%
46%
7 5 2 -2
19 Jan. 2019
PRA
Pradillano Sporting
0 - 2
Alera
ALE
66%
17%
17%
5 9 4 +2
13 Jan. 2019
ALE
Alera
0 - 2
Valpalmas Futbol Club
VAL
13%
15%
72%
5 11 6 0
05 Jan. 2019
UNC
Uncastillo J
3 - 2
Alera
ALE
51%
19%
30%
5 5 0 0

Matches

Bardena
Bardena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2019
BAR
Bardena
1 - 2
CD Torres
TOR
51%
21%
28%
7 6 1 0
10 Feb. 2019
PRA
Pradillano Sporting
1 - 0
Bardena
BAR
52%
21%
28%
8 9 1 -1
03 Feb. 2019
BAR
Bardena
1 - 0
Valpalmas Futbol Club
VAL
18%
17%
65%
7 10 3 +1
20 Jan. 2019
UNC
Uncastillo J
1 - 3
Bardena
BAR
53%
20%
28%
5 5 0 +2
13 Jan. 2019
BAR
Bardena
1 - 3
Luceni CF
LUC
10%
15%
75%
6 13 7 -1
X