DFB Pokal . Last 16
Global 2-2
Alemannia Aachen vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
43.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 1970 |
AHA
0 - 3
AAA
34%
22%
44%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
AAA
3 - 2
MSV
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1970 |
BRE
4 - 1
AAA
66%
19%
16%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1970 |
HAN
5 - 0
AAA
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1970 |
AAA
1 - 1
EBT
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1970 |
TEN
0 - 2
BRE
46%
22%
32%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
HER
4 - 1
BRE
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1970 |
BRE
4 - 1
AAA
66%
19%
16%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1970 |
ROT
3 - 2
BRE
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1970 |
BRE
1 - 0
BYM
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |