Alemannia Aachen vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1990 |
AAA
0 - 1
KFC
37%
25%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1990 |
AAA
2 - 1
SVS
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
BAY
3 - 0
AAA
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1990 |
AAA
0 - 0
DAR
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1990 |
PRE
2 - 0
AAA
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1993 |
HAN
4 - 1
SAA
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1993 |
SAA
2 - 0
M05
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1993 |
TEN
0 - 4
SAA
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 1993 |
SAL
1 - 3
SAA
24%
24%
53%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1993 |
SAA
3 - 0
SVS
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |