Alemannia Aachen vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1980 |
WUP
3 - 2
AAA
35%
30%
35%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1980 |
AAA
3 - 2
OSV
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1980 |
OSC
4 - 0
AAA
40%
29%
30%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 May. 1980 |
AAA
4 - 1
SCH
75%
16%
8%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1980 |
WAT
1 - 1
AAA
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1980 |
HOL
3 - 3
ARB
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1980 |
DSC
4 - 2
HOL
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1980 |
HOL
4 - 1
USO
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1980 |
AHA
1 - 2
HOL
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1980 |
HOL
3 - 3
ROT
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |