Alemannia Aachen vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1979 |
AHA
0 - 0
AAA
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1979 |
AAA
1 - 4
LEV
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1979 |
KÖL
1 - 0
AAA
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1979 |
AAA
3 - 1
USO
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1979 |
STP
0 - 0
AAA
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1979 |
HOL
1 - 0
PRE
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1979 |
HAN
2 - 2
HOL
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1979 |
HOL
5 - 0
RWL
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1979 |
LEV
2 - 1
HOL
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
FCN
7 - 1
HOL
80%
12%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |