Regionalliga West. Jor. 10

Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln analysis

Alemannia Aachen Fortuna Köln
42 ELO 47
-1.4% Tilt -10.4%
2886º General ELO ranking 3254º
78º Country ELO ranking 89º
ELO win probability
34.5%
Alemannia Aachen
25.8%
Draw
39.7%
Fortuna Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
Alemannia Aachen
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.7%
Win probability
Fortuna Köln
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alemannia Aachen
+52%
+1%
Fortuna Köln

Points and table prediction

Alemannia Aachen
Their league position
Fortuna Köln
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
12º
54
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Preußen Münster
76
79
100%
B. Mönchengladbach II
65
66
74.5%
Wuppertaler SV
63
64
74.5%
Rödinghausen
58
58
100%
Fortuna Köln
54
55
60.5%
Alemannia Aachen
53
54
37%
Kaan-Marienborn
52
53
28%
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
50
51
42%
Schalke 04 II
48
49
90%
Düren
11º
45
48
10º
72.5%
Lippstadt 08
10º
46
46
11º
72.5%
Wiedenbrück
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Köln II
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
14º
40
40
14º
100%
FC Bocholt
15º
36
37
15º
100%
Rot Weiss Ahlen
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Wattenscheid 09
17º
22
22
17º
100%
SV Straelen
18º
17
17
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Alemannia Aachen
Fortuna Köln
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
78% 39.5%
Relegation
22% 60.5%

ELO progression

Alemannia Aachen
Fortuna Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alemannia Aachen
Alemannia Aachen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2022
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
4 - 2
Preußen Münster
PRE
16%
23%
62%
40 58 18 0
17 Sep. 2022
FCB
FC Bocholt
2 - 0
Alemannia Aachen
AAA
46%
25%
29%
41 40 1 -1
10 Sep. 2022
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
3 - 2
Wiedenbrück
WIE
40%
26%
34%
41 42 1 0
04 Sep. 2022
WAT
Wattenscheid 09
1 - 2
Alemannia Aachen
AAA
38%
27%
36%
39 36 3 +2
26 Aug. 2022
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
1 - 0
Rot Weiss Ahlen
RWA
46%
25%
29%
39 37 2 0

Matches

Fortuna Köln
Fortuna Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2022
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
1 - 1
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
ROT
40%
25%
35%
46 46 0 0
02 Sep. 2022
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
3 - 0
Kaan-Marienborn
KMA
50%
25%
25%
46 43 3 0
27 Aug. 2022
WIE
Wiedenbrück
0 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
35%
26%
38%
45 43 2 +1
20 Aug. 2022
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
0 - 0
Schalke 04 II
S04
51%
24%
24%
45 42 3 0
13 Aug. 2022
WAT
Wattenscheid 09
3 - 0
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
15%
22%
63%
48 32 16 -3
X