Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1989 |
HER
1 - 1
AAA
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1989 |
AAA
1 - 1
SAA
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1989 |
OSN
2 - 2
AAA
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1989 |
AAA
0 - 1
DAR
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
VIK
1 - 2
AAA
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1989 |
KÖL
4 - 1
F95
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1989 |
KÖL
2 - 1
BWB
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1989 |
MEP
1 - 1
KÖL
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
KÖL
1 - 1
SCF
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
OFC
1 - 1
KÖL
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |