Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
AAA
3 - 0
WAT
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
BVB
3 - 0
AAA
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
AAA
4 - 1
ISC
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
AAA
2 - 1
FCM
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
WUP
2 - 2
AAA
80%
13%
7%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
WUP
0 - 1
KÖL
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
KÖL
6 - 1
TEN
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
WAB
1 - 7
KÖL
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
KÖL
3 - 0
OSN
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
ARB
1 - 1
KÖL
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |