Alemannia Aachen vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
26%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
51.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
M05
4 - 2
AAA
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
AAA
1 - 1
KÖL
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
OFC
1 - 2
AAA
45%
25%
31%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
AAA
2 - 1
WAL
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
MON
1 - 2
AAA
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1999 |
FCN
4 - 3
KSC
36%
26%
39%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1999 |
HAN
2 - 0
FCN
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1999 |
FCN
1 - 0
CHE
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
COT
2 - 0
FCN
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
M05
1 - 1
FCN
33%
27%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |