Bundesliga Round 31

Alemannia Aachen vs Nürnberg analysis

Alemannia Aachen Nürnberg
76 ELO 86
11.3% Tilt 8%
1498º General ELO ranking 619º
68º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
38.3%
Alemannia Aachen
26.5%
Draw
35.3%
Nürnberg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
Alemannia Aachen
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.3%
Win probability
Nürnberg
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alemannia Aachen
+6%
-1%
Nürnberg

ELO progression

Alemannia Aachen
Nürnberg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alemannia Aachen
Alemannia Aachen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 1968
KAI
Kaiserslautern
1 - 0
Alemannia Aachen
AAA
50%
24%
26%
75 78 3 0
05 Apr. 1968
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
1 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
39%
24%
37%
75 84 9 0
30 Mar. 1968
STU
Stuttgart
4 - 1
Alemannia Aachen
AAA
51%
24%
26%
76 80 4 -1
23 Mar. 1968
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
2 - 1
Schalke 04
S04
49%
23%
28%
75 78 3 +1
16 Mar. 1968
MUN
1860 München
6 - 0
Alemannia Aachen
AAA
72%
17%
12%
76 86 10 -1

Matches

Nürnberg
Nürnberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 1968
FCN
Nürnberg
4 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
62%
21%
17%
86 83 3 0
10 Apr. 1968
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 1
Nürnberg
FCN
69%
17%
14%
86 87 1 0
06 Apr. 1968
FCN
Nürnberg
2 - 1
Köln
KOL
54%
23%
23%
86 86 0 0
30 Mar. 1968
KAI
Kaiserslautern
1 - 0
Nürnberg
FCN
34%
28%
38%
86 78 8 0
23 Mar. 1968
FCN
Nürnberg
0 - 0
Werder Bremen
BRE
58%
22%
20%
86 84 2 0