Alemannia Aachen vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AAA
1 - 3
OFC
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
SAA
1 - 2
AAA
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
AAA
1 - 1
BOR
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
AAA
3 - 2
WAC
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 1
AAA
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
M05
0 - 3
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
AUG
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BVB
2 - 0
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
KOL
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 2
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |