Alemannia Aachen U19 vs Viktoria Koln U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
53.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
8º
6º
18
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 24 |
4º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
69% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARM
0 - 1
ALA
38%
22%
41%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VIK
3 - 1
ALA
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ALA
3 - 1
WUP
54%
20%
26%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MON
6 - 0
ALA
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 3
LEV
20%
19%
61%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Viktoria Koln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 2
VIK
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VIK
3 - 1
ALA
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
DUI
1 - 2
VIK
42%
24%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIK
3 - 0
SCH
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +3 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 0
VIK
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |