Alemannia Aachen Sub 19 vs MSV Duisburg Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
64.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+277%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
11º
7º
33
3º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 4
ALA
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 2
KOL
7%
12%
81%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BOR
6 - 0
ALA
91%
6%
2%
|
8 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 2
BOC
6%
13%
81%
|
5 | 23 | 18 | +3 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
FOR
39%
22%
39%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DUI
1 - 3
LEV
33%
23%
45%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
DUI
1 - 1
SCP
33%
22%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SCV
1 - 3
DUI
28%
22%
51%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
DUI
4 - 3
FOR
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
DUI
0 - 3
HAN
27%
22%
51%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |