Alemania U21 vs Países Bajos U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
GER
2 - 0
IRL
84%
12%
4%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
GER
2 - 1
NOR
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
IRL
0 - 6
GER
8%
15%
77%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
GER
3 - 0
MEX
84%
11%
5%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
KOS
0 - 0
GER
10%
15%
75%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Países Bajos U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
NED
3 - 0
UKR
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
LVA
0 - 3
NED
6%
13%
81%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
NED
1 - 2
SCO
65%
20%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
ENG
0 - 0
NED
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 2
NED
17%
18%
65%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |