European U21 Championship qualifying Group C Round 1

Alemania U21 vs España U21 analysis

Alemania U21 España U21
72 ELO 71
-4.8% Tilt -10.9%
350º General ELO ranking 193º
30º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
62.1%
Alemania U21
20.7%
Draw
17.2%
España U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
Alemania U21
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.2%
Win probability
España U21
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alemania U21
+12%
-9%
España U21

ELO progression

Alemania U21
España U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alemania U21
Alemania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 1992
ALB
Albania U21
0 - 1
Alemania U21
GER
25%
27%
49%
72 54 18 0
13 Oct. 1992
GER
Alemania U21
4 - 0
Turquía U21
TUR
75%
17%
8%
72 55 17 0
08 Sep. 1992
GER
Alemania U21
0 - 1
Países Bajos U21
NED
60%
21%
20%
73 69 4 -1
21 Apr. 1992
CSK
Checoslovaquia U21
1 - 1
Alemania U21
GER
51%
23%
26%
72 69 3 +1
23 Mar. 1992
SCO
Escocia U21
4 - 3
Alemania U21
GER
49%
27%
24%
73 67 6 -1

Matches

España U21
España U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 1992
ESP
España U21
2 - 1
Irlanda U21
IRL
67%
21%
12%
70 55 15 0
13 Oct. 1992
ESP
España U21
3 - 0
México U21
MEX
53%
25%
22%
69 64 5 +1
08 Sep. 1992
ESP
España U21
0 - 1
Inglaterra U21
ENG
56%
22%
21%
70 65 5 -1
21 Apr. 1992
ESP
España U21
1 - 1
Albania U21
ALB
69%
20%
10%
70 54 16 0
31 Mar. 1992
ESP
España U21
1 - 0
Italia U21
ITA
42%
25%
33%
69 74 5 +1