Alella 2013 vs Calella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
50.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alella 2013
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
AQU
4 - 3
ALE
42%
22%
36%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 2
TIA
63%
18%
19%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 4
ALE
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
ALE
4 - 3
MOL
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 0
MAT
27%
23%
50%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Calella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
MAT
3 - 1
CAL
13%
20%
68%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 0
SAN
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
MAS
1 - 2
CAL
15%
20%
65%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAL
5 - 4
MOL
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
MON
1 - 4
CAL
11%
17%
73%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |