Alecrim vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
ARN
0 - 1
ALE
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
ALE
0 - 1
ARN
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ALE
2 - 1
MEC
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 1
ALE
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
SGO
2 - 3
ALE
32%
24%
45%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
POT
1 - 1
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 3
POT
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 2
BAR
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
ACD
1 - 4
SAN
23%
22%
55%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 3
ABC
16%
21%
64%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |