Alecrim vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ABC
2 - 0
ALE
65%
21%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
ALE
4 - 1
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
POT
1 - 1
ALE
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GLO
3 - 1
ALE
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
ABC
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
ARN
15%
23%
62%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 2
BAR
27%
24%
48%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ABC
3 - 1
BAR
66%
21%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
GLO
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 2
POT
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |