Alecrim vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ALE
40%
27%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
COR
2 - 1
ALE
44%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
POT
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALE
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
ARN
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
ABC
3 - 0
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
POT
2 - 1
ABC
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
DES
1 - 0
ABC
25%
23%
51%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
ABC
16%
23%
60%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
ABC
3 - 2
GLO
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |