Alecrim vs Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 3
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 2
ALE
22%
19%
59%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ALE
3 - 2
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 0
POT
11%
19%
71%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | +4 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 1
ALE
32%
21%
47%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
POT
2 - 1
LAG
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 3
PAR
76%
14%
9%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 1
BAR
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 5
LAG
37%
22%
42%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 1
ALE
32%
21%
47%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |