Alcoyano vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
ALC
38%
30%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 2
SAN
47%
26%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
GIM
2 - 1
ALC
64%
22%
15%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SEV
1 - 3
ALC
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
SAB
21%
28%
51%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
UCA
0 - 1
CAS
32%
29%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 0
UCA
36%
30%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UCA
1 - 1
FCA
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 2
UCA
37%
30%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
UCA
3 - 0
RMC
34%
26%
41%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |