Alcoyano vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
PER
2 - 3
ALC
50%
27%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 1
SAB
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
EJE
2 - 1
ALC
35%
29%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 1
OLO
45%
28%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAS
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
UBC
1 - 1
CAS
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
UBC
63%
23%
14%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
UBC
1 - 2
LLE
28%
30%
43%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
BAD
0 - 0
UBC
55%
26%
19%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
UBC
3 - 0
VAL
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |