Alcoyano vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.9%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
BEN
4 - 2
ALC
27%
29%
44%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
ALC
3 - 2
ALC
87%
9%
4%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
ALC
7 - 1
ADR
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALC
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
CDB
1 - 2
ALC
28%
29%
44%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
RJA
1 - 1
CFC
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
ALB
0 - 1
RJA
61%
23%
17%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
RJA
5 - 2
XER
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
RJA
0 - 0
HER
27%
28%
44%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
NOV
1 - 0
RJA
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |