Alcoyano vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 1
GRA
51%
27%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
SAB
0 - 0
ALC
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 1
LEV
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 0
ALC
26%
29%
45%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ALC
3 - 0
RCD
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
RAY
0 - 1
PPJ
67%
22%
11%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
RSI
2 - 2
RAY
18%
26%
56%
|
67 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
RAY
2 - 0
78%
16%
6%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
PON
1 - 0
RAY
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
RAY
4 - 1
CEL
68%
22%
11%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |