Alcoyano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
ALC
1 - 4
VAD
39%
24%
38%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
MUR
3 - 1
ALC
57%
20%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
ALC
1 - 2
ATM
23%
22%
55%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
ATH
8 - 1
ALC
87%
8%
5%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
ALC
1 - 1
SEV
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
CAT
3 - 0
HER
55%
21%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
HER
5 - 0
GRA
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
VAL
1 - 1
HER
54%
21%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
HER
3 - 2
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
HER
2 - 1
UDL
56%
20%
24%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |