Alcover vs Morell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+122%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcover
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
BON
2 - 0
ALC
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ALC
3 - 1
CAL
55%
20%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CCL
1 - 5
ALC
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 0
CON
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
LLO
1 - 2
ALC
56%
20%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
LAR
28%
22%
50%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 3
SJD
40%
23%
37%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
ALT
2 - 1
MOR
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 1
MOR
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
3 - 1
SSA
50%
23%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |