Alcover vs L'Arboç analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
32.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcover
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SCQ
2 - 3
ALC
33%
21%
46%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 4
ALT
65%
17%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 2
ALC
63%
18%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 2
CON
38%
21%
40%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
SSA
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
L'Arboç
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LAR
3 - 1
PSM
58%
20%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
TAN
4 - 0
LAR
38%
21%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LAR
0 - 3
VAL
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LLO
2 - 4
LAR
27%
22%
51%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LAR
0 - 0
PMA
41%
23%
37%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |