Pref. Aragon Round 18

Alcorisa vs Herrera analysis

Alcorisa Herrera
17 ELO 16
-7.3% Tilt 3.6%
13747º General ELO ranking 13507º
2559º Country ELO ranking 2398º
ELO win probability
49.3%
Alcorisa
22.6%
Draw
28.2%
Herrera

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
Alcorisa
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28.2%
Win probability
Herrera
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alcorisa
-26%
+14%
Herrera

ELO progression

Alcorisa
Herrera
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alcorisa
Alcorisa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2025
ALC
Alcorisa
4 - 0
Sportin Alcañiz Cf
SPO
27%
23%
50%
15 19 4 0
12 Jan. 2025
ATC
At. Calatayud
1 - 1
Alcorisa
ALC
75%
15%
10%
15 24 9 0
22 Dec. 2024
ALC
Alcorisa
1 - 1
Mallén
MAL
32%
23%
45%
14 18 4 +1
15 Dec. 2024
ICF
Illueca
1 - 0
Alcorisa
ALC
74%
16%
9%
15 27 12 -1
06 Dec. 2024
ALC
Alcorisa
1 - 2
Cella
CEL
42%
23%
35%
16 16 0 -1

Matches

Herrera
Herrera
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2025
MAG
AD Magallon
0 - 0
Herrera
HER
61%
21%
18%
16 21 5 0
12 Jan. 2025
HER
Herrera
0 - 0
UD San José
UDS
20%
22%
58%
15 24 9 +1
22 Dec. 2024
CDC
CD Cariñena
1 - 0
Herrera
HER
82%
12%
6%
16 28 12 -1
15 Dec. 2024
HER
Herrera
1 - 3
Montecarlo
UDM
36%
23%
42%
16 18 2 0
01 Dec. 2024
SDB
SD Borja
7 - 0
Herrera
HER
58%
22%
20%
17 22 5 -1