Alcochetense vs Serpa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
73.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcochetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
UMI
1 - 0
ALC
12%
15%
73%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 4
LEX
5%
11%
84%
|
20 | 64 | 44 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
VEL
0 - 5
ALC
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ATA
2 - 0
ALC
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
LOU
13%
20%
67%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SER
4 - 2
LAG
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
EST
2 - 3
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SER
0 - 1
SIN
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
LOU
2 - 0
SER
57%
24%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SER
1 - 1
CIN
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |