Paracuellos MX vs Real Madrid C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
14º
6º
67
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 93% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
42% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paracuellos MX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
TRJ
2 - 0
ALC
31%
26%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 4
CDM
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CVI
4 - 3
ALC
17%
22%
61%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 2
CAN
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
POZ
0 - 0
ALC
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
RMA
4 - 1
ARA
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RMA
4 - 2
TRJ
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
RMA
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RMA
2 - 1
CDM
33%
24%
44%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RVB
5 - 2
RMA
34%
22%
43%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |