Paracuellos MX vs El Álamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paracuellos MX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
NAV
2 - 1
ALC
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
SFN
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
PNT
0 - 0
ALC
19%
24%
57%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 2
ALC
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
ALC
3 - 2
GUA
63%
23%
15%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
El Álamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ALA
3 - 2
RVB
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
VAL
2 - 0
ALA
63%
22%
16%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALC
36%
27%
37%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 2
ALA
68%
20%
12%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ALA
1 - 1
MAD
27%
25%
47%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |