Alcides vs De Zouaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SDO
3 - 1
ALC
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ALC
2 - 1
BEQ
21%
20%
59%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ALC
2 - 3
TAC
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
HBS
0 - 1
ALC
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 2
SJC
22%
20%
59%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
De Zouaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
RKA
3 - 0
DEZ
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
DEZ
0 - 0
HBS
43%
23%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SDO
3 - 4
DEZ
55%
22%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
DEZ
2 - 1
SJC
33%
21%
46%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
ALP
3 - 0
DEZ
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |