Alcides vs Quick '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
45.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
HBS
0 - 1
ALC
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
RKV
3 - 1
ALC
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 3
HOL
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LEO
3 - 2
ALC
54%
21%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ALC
3 - 0
MSC
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
QUI
3 - 2
ALP
58%
19%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
HOL
2 - 1
QUI
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
QUI
2 - 2
MSC
68%
16%
16%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SJC
3 - 2
QUI
39%
21%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
QUI
5 - 4
HOO
52%
21%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |