Alcides vs Quick '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
39.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SWZ
3 - 0
ALC
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
6 - 0
GER
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
USV
33%
25%
43%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SWZ
4 - 0
ALC
44%
23%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 0
ALV
65%
18%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
QUI
4 - 1
DEB
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BEQ
3 - 2
QUI
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 1
MSC
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
USV
4 - 2
QUI
50%
22%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
JOU
1 - 5
QUI
11%
18%
71%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | +1 |