Alcides vs Quick '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ROH
1 - 1
ALC
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALC
4 - 0
RKH
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
OJC
1 - 4
ALC
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 0
JUL
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NIE
2 - 4
ALC
17%
23%
59%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MSC
1 - 1
QUI
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 0
ROH
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +3 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
RKH
2 - 1
QUI
48%
23%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 3
OJC
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
JUL
2 - 1
QUI
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |