Alcides vs MSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 2
QUI
67%
19%
15%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ROH
1 - 1
ALC
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALC
4 - 0
RKH
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
OJC
1 - 4
ALC
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 0
JUL
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
RIG
1 - 1
MSC
16%
20%
63%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MSC
1 - 1
QUI
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LON
2 - 5
MSC
44%
23%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MSC
0 - 2
ROH
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DEB
1 - 1
MSC
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |